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Marty’s Saturday Morning Forecast – More Storms – 8-10-19

Overview: A combination of moisture associated with the summer monsoon and low level humidity will lead to the development of numerous thunderstorms through the weekend. A weak cold front will bring much drier air over the area late Sunday into early Monday and should greatly reduce our chances for storms early next week.

Today: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon and evening. Storms today will be most widespread over the mountains but scattered storms are possible everywhere. Over the mountains frequent cloud to ground lighting and heavy rain will be the primary concerns with a flash flooding threat anywhere stronger storms can interact with burn scars. The strongest storms over the plains could briefly reach severe criteria with hail over an inch in diameter and wind gusts to near 60 mph accompanying heavy rain and frequent lighting. Prior to thunderstorms arriving we should warm into the 80s and 90s over the plains with 70s for the mountains, but afternoon thunderstorms will cool the air nicely as they drift overhead.

Tonight: Thunderstorms will continue to drift eastward this evening then eventually weaken and come to an end late leaving us partly cloudy by morning. We expect low temperatures to fall into the 50s and 60s for all areas.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and possibly a little warmer before the storms fire up again during the afternoon. Thunderstorms may actually be a bit more numerous on Sunday, especially over and near the mountains. Like Saturday a few storms could be pretty strong.

Extended: Much drier air will greatly reduce, and possibly eliminate thunderstorms from most areas on Monday, and although the air temperature may be a bit cooler the drier conditions will mean that we remain very warm all afternoon. Isolated storms are a little more likely on Tuesday, particularly over the mountains, but many areas will probably miss out on significant rainfall. Storms may increase over parts of the state on Wednesday, but storms look to be pretty spotty for the rest of the week.

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