Through 11 weeks of the NFL season, players are starting to separate themselves from the pack in the race for the league’s Most Valuable Player award. Contenders range from former MVPs to young stars and even a few proven veterans who have yet to claim the league’s top individual prize.
With this year’s NFL MVP Award still very much up for grabs, here are three bets with great value, including a favorite, a darkhorse and a longshot.
All odds are courtesy of SportsBetting.com.
Favorite: Russell Wilson +250
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson has never received a single vote for the NFL MVP Award during his career, but that’s likely going to change this year.
Wilson has the second-best odds to win this year’s MVP at SportsBetting.com, behind only Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, and for good reason. Wilson is the only quarterback in the NFL to rank in the Top 5 among all active starters in passing yards (2nd), passing yards per attempt (2nd), completion percentage (3rd), passing touchdowns (1st) and quarterback rating (3rd).
So far this season, Wilson has been statistically the best and most dominant quarterback in the league and has led the way in the MVP race throughout the season. However, his odds have dipped a bit after back-to-back losses, making it the perfect time to jump on this bet – the value is better than it’s been most of the season for the best quarterback in the league.
Darkhorse: Kyler Murray +500
Last year, Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson won the league MVP as a dual-threat quarterback in his second season in the NFL, and Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has a chance to do the same this year.
Murray does not have the passing numbers of the other MVP contenders, ranking just No. 14 in the league among active starters in passing yardage with 263.9 yards per game through the air, but he more than makes up for it with his legs. Not only is Murray the leading rusher among quarterbacks, but he’s also the No. 8 overall rusher in the NFL, leads the league with 6.9 yards per carry and ranks second with 10 touchdowns.
There are certainly more polished passers vying for the league’s MVP award, but Murray has put up better numbers on the ground than anyone else in the league and better passing numbers than Jackson did during his MVP season. At +500 odds, Murray is a great value bet at this point in the season.
Longshot: Josh Allen +2200
He may not have the name recognition as some of the MVP frontrunners, but Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is quietly emerging as one of the league’s top quarterbacks.
Allen ranks No. 5 in the NFL in passing, averaging 287.1 yards per game, and he is No. 8 in the league with his 68.4 completion percentage. While not quite the threat on the ground as Murray or Jackson, Allen is also a threat with his legs, rushing for 279 yards and five touchdowns through 10 games this season.
At his current pace, Allen will not have the numbers to win the MVP this season. But at the midway point in the season, there is still more than enough time for him to make up the ground. He has the talent and the team to do it, making him a good longshot bet at +2200.
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