DENVER (KRDO) -- A new modeling report from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment shows the state is on track to exceed the April peak in hospitalizations for COVID-19 by mid-November.
Health officials are warning Coloradans that transmission control of the virus is on the decline.
"Transmission control captures ALL behavioral and policy changes in response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic including mask-wearing, physical distancing, improved ventilation, working from home, contact tracing (including both isolation and quarantine), moving activities outside, and any seasonal impact," the department wrote in a statement.
CDPHE says "we are at a critical moment," with Colorado on track to exceed the 900 hospitalizations in one day seen back in April. Officials say that day could come as soon as mid-November if cases keep rising.
The window to improve transmission control is over the next several weeks to assure that critical care capacity is not stressed. Health experts say the magnitude and timing of reductions in transmission will determine the severity of COVID-19 in Colorado in the months ahead.
The latest modeling study was conducted with the help of Colorado School of Public Health. Previous models can be found by clicking here.